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- Rugby Championship Round 3, Currie Cup Week 9, NPC + other rugby 26 Aug - 1 Sep
Rugby Championship Round 3, Currie Cup Week 9, NPC + other rugby 26 Aug - 1 Sep
- Brent Graham
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I did ok on the weekend but gave some profits back on the Pumas so it was a disappointing end to the weekend for me.
The Rugby Champs returns this weekend and handicaps have been fairly stable
South Africa -7.5 (there is -6.5) v New Zealand
Argentina -7.5 v Australia
The Currie Cup is nearing the playoffs with only 2 rounds to go and here are my projected handicaps
The Bulls and Lions have booked their spots in the last 4, the Sharks are 1 win away
The Cheetahs and Pumas are both on 24 points (2 points behind the Sharks) and meet in the final round
Watch out for the introduction of URC players to get them some game time - I am basing handicaps on current form
Griquas +8.5 v Cheetahs
Bulls -7.5 v Lions (believe this is being played in Midrand)
Sharks -32.5 v Griffons
WP -4.5 v Pumas
Which of my Currie Cup Caps are you hoping the bookies follow?
Have a good week
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- Couch Critic
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BUT this week team news will be crucial. The Sharks are bringing their URC players back this week and I have heard that it is the case for the Stormers as well. On this news / tactic I have a concern that the Bulls might also look to flex their considerabe squad power...
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- Brent Graham
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Another strange thing that speaks to the unpredictability of the CC is that I have not seen any outright betting all season
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- Pablo
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Exactly, the always interesting Pro D2 with his trolling teams and no brainer results
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- Kirky
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And next week it's Pro14's turn, also with some no-brainersPablo wrote: Guess which competition is back this week ...
Exactly, the always interesting Pro D2 with his trolling teams and no brainer results
Two weeks after that URC
Brent, are you going to run another cash pool for URC this year ?
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- Sharkster
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I will go again this week. So far I have taken hawkes bay +5 and Waikato +8.
I like the idea of getting into another league in the prod2 but with the urc and Prem starting I'm not sure I have enough time for another league. Although I know they play some games on Thursdays.
@pablo which do you prefer betting on top14 or prod2?
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- Dfurlong1986
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- Pablo
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Sharkster wrote: Have been 1 step forward 1 step back with the NPC
I will go again this week. So far I have taken hawkes bay +5 and Waikato +8.
I like the idea of getting into another league in the prod2 but with the urc and Prem starting I'm not sure I have enough time for another league. Although I know they play some games on Thursdays.
@pablo which do you prefer betting on top14 or prod2?
Agree on Waikato (+7 here) and I also like Taranaki -10.5, I think they should be 15-17 points favourites against Otago (usually underperforms away from Dunedin)
I have to refresh my stats because I didn´t actualise it since september 2022 but in the period 2016-2022 (I guess 2022-2024 is more of the same):
Top 14: 610 bets / 16.72% yield / +223u profit
Pro D2: 280 bets / 14.76% yield / +85u profit
Clearly is three times more profitable for me the Top14, Pro D2 is more funny to watch but limits lower as well.
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- Gareth75
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- Brent Graham
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A good question but will probably get lost in the rugby thread - my suggestion is that you open a new thread on this topic - might be something we can do a show about sometime as well
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- Brent Graham
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Griquas +8.5 (+10.5) v Cheetahs
Bulls -7.5 (-3.5) v Lions
Sharks -32.5 (-33.5) v Griffons
WP -4.5 (+3.5) v Pumas
I am going to back WP +3.5 and on the board as if their URC players come back the line will shift
Also Pumas haven't been great lately
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- Brent Graham
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Boks now -5.5 from -7.5
Other game stable and have seen -6.5 Argentina and +8.5 Aus
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- southpaw
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Seen 57.5 in places, conditions look good, and I’m on holiday so a rare midweek bet allowed.
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- Sharkster
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Sharkster wrote: Have been 1 step forward 1 step back with the NPC
I will go again this week. So far I have taken hawkes bay +5 and Waikato +8.
I like the idea of getting into another league in the prod2 but with the urc and Prem starting I'm not sure I have enough time for another league. Although I know they play some games on Thursdays.
@pablo which do you prefer betting on top14 or prod2?
I'm going to add Southland +9.5 to this. I had it a 5 point cap when I looked at it earlier in the week.
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- GeeGee
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- southpaw
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At risk of being on holiday becoming costly, i thought this looked very low.
Pablo hit me with some confidence please!
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- Pablo
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southpaw wrote: Brive over 25.5 @ 5/6
At risk of being on holiday becoming costly, i thought this looked very low.
Pablo hit me with some confidence please!
Agree with the overs here, strong team picked by Brive. Also Oyonnax strong (no Ruru and Stark though).
Good weather It means to me overs, I don't have team totals so I go with o45 @1.813 just for 1u.
PD: I also add 1u to Oyonnax +8.5 @1.80. Nice compo both teams and I think this match should be in losing bonus point area, first round so just 1u.
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- Couch Critic
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GeeGee wrote: Lions picked very strong team. Should start fav.
WSB still offering 12/10 in SA and I'm balls deep into the Lions!
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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- Pablo
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Even losing I enjoy this shit like a pig in a pigsty.
Like a spanish coach said: "This is football, daddy"
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- markhyland13
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Samoa boast the recent home H2Hs but I feel there's value in fading Samoa here tomorrow morning. They were poor in their opener vs Fiji who are admittingly a stronger team than Tonga.
Tonga ring the changes and feel they can match up here. See bookies have Samoa -13 points with the handicap. These early fixtures can be hard to call so will play small units.
Instead of playing the line, I'll take on Samoa under 33.5 total points scored @ 1.90.
will also nibble half unit on Tonga to win @ 4/1
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- Brent Graham
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South Africa v New Zealand
Neither team by more than 7 at 1.38/1 and a nibble on the draw at 25/1
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- Kirky
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After getting the win in NZ, it's theirs to lose.
Going to depend on whether they can beat us at home (Argentina), and if we send the B's. Well..
So I've put a unit at all 3 of my books, at around about 21.00 ea.
And will see what H/C goes to after this weekend. But for me, I love that 21 odds.
I really like the call.
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- markhyland13
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I thought my bet was dead in the water on the Samoa point total but hung in there with 6 minutes to go. Tonga just v poor in first 40! onwards
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- Brent Graham
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Over 62.5 in Griquas v Cheetahs
Argentina v Australia Preview
Main bet to follow but for now either team by 7 or less at 29/20
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- southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote: All Currie Cup plays will be posted here
Over 62.5 in Griquas v Cheetahs
Argentina v Australia Preview
Main bet to follow but for now either team by 7 or less at 29/20
Have to forget about that French game last night with some Currie cup action.
See there is 59.5 available in Uk so I’m joining -
Griquas cheetahs over 59.5 @ 10/11
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- Mondo86
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Very strong team named, Pumas been average this year - WP will end the season on a strong note in a sunny Stellenbosch.
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- markhyland13
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Simply Liking ABs +7 on the handicap here. Perfect conditions forecast so hopefully be a cracker! My model predicting SA 31 - 32 NZ.
ARG v AUS
Horrible weather forecast here with heavy rain in Buenos Aires and high winds. Was looking at the unders here as a result but predicting ARG 25 - 28 AUS so will leave the totals. Think the draw comes in to play here if this becomes an arm wrestle and odds of 25/1 , I cannot refuse.
Tryscorer Double :
Caleb Clarke & Chocobares @ 12/1
Happy Punting lads!
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- Pablo
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Mondo86 wrote: WP to win @ 8/10
Very strong team named, Pumas been average this year - WP will end the season on a strong note in a sunny Stellenbosch.
Agree here, managed to get @1.74 in exchanges
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: All Currie Cup plays will be posted here
Over 62.5 in Griquas v Cheetahs
Argentina v Australia Preview
Main bet to follow but for now either team by 7 or less at 29/20
Have to forget about that French game last night with some Currie cup action.
See there is 59.5 available in Uk so I’m joining -
Griquas cheetahs over 59.5 @ 10/11
This is kak. Butchering tries.
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: All Currie Cup plays will be posted here
Over 62.5 in Griquas v Cheetahs
Argentina v Australia Preview
Main bet to follow but for now either team by 7 or less at 29/20
Have to forget about that French game last night with some Currie cup action.
See there is 59.5 available in Uk so I’m joining -
Griquas cheetahs over 59.5 @ 10/11
This is kak. Butchering tries.
75 points. Easy. Just needed a word from Chiefie.
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- southpaw
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Chiefie wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: All Currie Cup plays will be posted here
Over 62.5 in Griquas v Cheetahs
Argentina v Australia Preview
Main bet to follow but for now either team by 7 or less at 29/20
Have to forget about that French game last night with some Currie cup action.
See there is 59.5 available in Uk so I’m joining -
Griquas cheetahs over 59.5 @ 10/11
This is kak. Butchering tries.
75 points. Easy. Just needed a word from Chiefie.
Geez was sweating buckets when only 20-10 after 50 odd minutes, was overexposed after going bigger than usual thanks to that prod2 shocker so that was a huge relief when game just sparked to life.
Betting accounts looking far healthier and now salivating over the weekend rugby to come. May be a big overs play coming for me in joburg tomorrow…
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- southpaw
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A yellow for both sides @ 13/2
Boks and all blacks fired up for this and feel Brace will enjoy putting himself in the limelight as normal. Most yellows per game in 2023 domstic games in URC.
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- Brent Graham
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Couch Critic wrote:
GeeGee wrote: Lions picked very strong team. Should start fav.
WSB still offering 12/10 in SA and I'm balls deep into the Lions!
Nicely played gents
Must say that looked a great atmosphere - far better than an Ellis Park or even Loftus for a Currie Cup game
Going to wait for points lines before making call on Sharks v Griffons
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- southpaw
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- Jameson
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EDIT: Oh dear, chucking it down .......
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- catsmug
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There's never been a better time than now to break their backs. Unlike last year we need to repeat the dose in Cape Town and that will cause a Kiwi meltdown
As you go through life it’s a long, long road. There’ll be joys and sorrows too
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- Pablo
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Weather looks beautiful tomorrow in Stellenbosch and that line at 52.5 seems low.
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- Pablo
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Pablo wrote: Line in WP-Pumas dropped from 61.5 to 52.5 in asia, ¿Did I miss something here?
Weather looks beautiful tomorrow in Stellenbosch and that line at 52.5 seems low.
Some very fast punters and line now in 57.5 so forget what I said ...
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- Jameson
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Arse.
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- Brent Graham
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Over 70.5 in Durban, humidity is low and hopefully the Griffons can score a couple as well
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- Jameson
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Pablo wrote:
Pablo wrote: Line in WP-Pumas dropped from 61.5 to 52.5 in asia, ¿Did I miss something here?
Weather looks beautiful tomorrow in Stellenbosch and that line at 52.5 seems low.
Some very fast punters and line now in 57.5 so forget what I said ...
There is no total pts market at Bet365 UK - blank screen!
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- Mondo86
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Game will be frenetic
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- Brad Breath
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Mondo86 wrote: All Blacks over 10.5 HT
Game will be frenetic
Have also taken this bet.
Took both ABs +8.5 and smalls ABs win @ 3.75 earlier in the week also.
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- Brent Graham
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I have added an FTS and LTS pick to the preview but staying out of points until the break
Perenera FTS 22/1
Marx LTS 12/1
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